Agresiunea Rusiei impotriva scutului militar antiracheta nu e ceva nou

Presedintele rus Dmitri Medvedev a aprobat noua doctrina militara a tarii care permite atacuri militare preventive impotriva potentialilor agresori. In noua Doctrina militara a Rusiei, una dintre amenintarile externe este "crearea si instalarea de sisteme antiracheta care submineaza stabilitatea globala", potrivit New York Times.

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Agresiunea superputerii impotriva unui sistem defensiv nu este ceva nou. Status quo-ul a fost mereu ca cele doua superputeri sunt in detenta nucleara. Daca una dintre ele isi lanseaza rachetele, atunci cealalta si le lanseaza din silozurile nucleare. Acesta este conceptul clasic de MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction).



In anii '80 un politician american incerca sa obtina simpatia electoratului prin specularea nevoii cetatenilor de a se simti in siguranta. Astfel, Reagan umbla promovand sistemul "Star Wars", o retea de lasere si rachete in spatiu care sa distruga focoasele Rusesti dupa o potentiala lansare.

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Numai ca pentru rusi rolul defensiv al sistemului Star Wars nu avea sens. Daca Rusia lansa prima, Star Wars nu ar fi reusit sa prinda in plasa toate rachetele, si cateva orase americane ar fi fost rase, pe cand detenta (MAD) ar fi asigurat ca rachetele nu se lanseaza niciodata.

Deci sistemul nu putea avea decat un rol ofensiv, o cale de a minimiza pagubele dupa ce rachetele americane ar fi fost lansate. In acest scenariu, americanii si-ar fi trimis focoasele spre orasele si slozurile rusesti, iar rachetele rusesti ramase neafectate de detonari ar fi fost lansate in retaliere. Star Wars ar fi prins numarul mai mic de rachete lansate in retaliere.

A few months later, Reagan made one of the most provocative moves of the Cold War. He announced that the US was going to develop a shield of lasers and nuclear weapons in space to defend against Soviet warheads. He called it missile defense; critics mocked it as "Star Wars."

To Moscow it was the Death Star—and it confirmed that the US was planning an attack. It would be impossible for the system to stop thousands of incoming Soviet missiles at once, so missile defense made sense only as a way of mopping up after an initial US strike. The US would first fire its thousands of weapons at Soviet cities and missile silos. Some Soviet weapons would survive for a retaliatory launch, but Reagan's shield could block many of those. Thus, Star Wars would nullify the long-standing doctrine of mutually assured destruction, the principle that neither side would ever start a nuclear war since neither could survive a counterattack.

As we know now, Reagan was not planning a first strike. According to his private diaries and personal letters, he genuinely believed he was bringing about lasting peace. (He once told Gorbachev he might be a reincarnation of the human who invented the first shield.) The system, Reagan insisted, was purely defensive. But as the Soviets knew, if the Americans were mobilizing for attack, that's exactly what you'd expect them to say.

Restul articolului in engleza despre sistemul Mana Moarta recomand sa il cititi pe Wired. Bine, probabil in realitate si in prezent totul e mai fin si fiecare isi flexeaza muschii ca sa aiba parghie de negociere.

De asemenea, imaginea este dintr-un joculet - Defcon de la Introversion Software, pe care merita sa il jucati macar pentru atmosfera.